Monday, July 22, 2019

First Half of 2019 = Staggering Violence Statistics

Yaqui for Borderland Beat from: Animal Politico
First half of 2019 leaves new homicide record; the violence increase in 4 years already exceeds 70%; with almost 20,600 people killed; the daily average rose for the second consecutive year. June and February 2019, were the most violent months in 22 years.

Mexico reaches the middle of 2019 at unprecedented levels of violence. In June, 3,080 new cases of murdered persons were counted , which added to those of the previous months yields a total of 17,  608 victims of homicide and feminicide in the first half of the year. This is a rate of almost 14 murders per 100,000 inhabitants, a new record in at least 22 years.

In fact, the number of victims of homicide and feminicide recorded in June 2019 represented a daily average of 102.6 murders per day, almost tying to that of February, which was 102.7 murders per day. They are the two months with the highest level of homicidal violence in history, both registered this year, and in the current sexennium.

Updated data from the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System (SESNSP) show that the rate of homicide / feminicide victims in the first six months of 2019 is 4.4 percent higher than that registered in the same period of 2018, the year with the highest annual crime figure to date.

The foregoing evidence that the upward trend in homicidal violence that began since 2015 and was inherited in the administration of Andrés Manuel López Obrador has  not yet been contained , although the annual increase has slowed.

With the 3,080 murders recorded in June (3,001 corresponding to victims of homicide and 79 of feminicide), the number of people killed between December 2018 to June 2019 - amounts to 21,599. 

Compared to June last year, June 2019 also shows a growth of just over 6 %. It should be noted that this is the second consecutive month in which the daily average of homicides rises, after a decline had been achieved from March to April.

These differences are recorded even when the violence data for 2018 were updated upwards as a result of Mexico City significantly modifying its incidence record last year, on the grounds that a significant significant underreporting of investigation folders was detected.  

Previously, the annual total of homicide / feminicide victims in 2018 had been set at 3,441 at the country level, but with the CDMX update, said annual total grew to 34, 654.

In four years, more than 70% increase in homicides:

SESNSP data show that from January to June 2019, 17,138 victims of manslaughter were registered for which 14, 603 investigation folders were initiated. The data of the initiated folders is important because it is the only one with which a comparison can be made with the entire historical series of the SESNSP dating from 1997 to date.

This warns that the country registers a cumulative and sustained increase in four years of 73.5 % in the homicide rate.

We went from accounting for 6.68 cases per o100,000 inhabitants in the first half of 2015, to 7.47 cases for manslaughter in the same period of 2016, to grow back at a rate of 9.69 cases in 2017, reaching 11.21 in the same period of 2018, and finally parking at 11.59 wrongful killings from January to June of this year, 2019.

This level of homicidal violence clearly exceeds the worst years of the so-called "War on Drug Trafficking" recorded in the six-year term of former president Felipe Calderón . In that six-year period, the highest homicide rates for the first semester were 9.75 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in 2011 and 9.31 cases for 2012.

It should be noted, however, that unlike the previous two six-year terms, that of President López Obrador received an annual upward trend in murder levels.

If the comparison is made with a decade ago when in 2009 a rate of 6.68 wrongful killings per 100,000  inhabitants was registered, what is noticed is that the level of murders has practically doubled .
Colima, leading in violence in 2019:

Colima is, as in the last two years, the state with the highest level of malicious homicides in the country. From January to June of this year, it registered a rate of 40.71 cases per 100,000  inhabitants, almost four times above the national average. 

Colima is followed by Baja California with a rate of 34.14 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants, Chihuahua with 27.63, Guanajuato with 23.07 and Morelos with 22.74 cases.

Mexico City recorded a rate of 8.97 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the first half, below the national average but above that of the state of Mexico, which reports 7.37 murders in the first half of this year.

Mexico has the largest increase in violence in the entire hemisphere in the last decade:
The country has high homicide rates, and there are fewer and fewer municipalities that do not register murders, according to a study conducted by the University of San Diego and Mexican universities.

In the last decade, no country in the hemisphere has experienced an increase as large as Mexico in the absolute number or in its homicide rate.

This is one of the conclusions of the “Organized Crime and Justice in Mexico” report of the Justice in Mexico program developed by the University of San Diego, United States, in collaboration with UNAM, the University of Guadalajara , the Autonomous University of Nuevo León, and the Autonomous University of Puebla.

s clear that the increase in violence in Mexico during the last decade represents an urgent problem that does not need to be exaggerated in order to deserve serious consideration by academics and policy makers. This tragic loss of Mexican lives should cause serious concern, not hyperbolic claims or part of the political game, ”he says.

The increase in violence is related to the so-called "war on drugs" and marks an upward trend during the presidencies of Calderón and Enrique Peña Nieto (2012-2018), a six-year period in which violence has skyrocketed. In total, more than 332,000 people were murdered in Mexico since the beginning of the 20th century, not counting missing persons and crimes that were not reported.


18 comments:

  1. Yeah Ramos called BS when AMLO gave the statistics of the Mexican drug war death toll during his presidency!

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    Replies
    1. 7:26 Jorge Ramos, Whose puppet?
      Where has "jorge" been the last 18/ 24 years of public corruption in Mexico?
      After posing as a big mouth vs tromp asking him how he was going to pay for the "Impossible Wall" he has taken to question the current designated LatinAmerican satrapies, specializing in those deemed "leftist" but not on the corrupt or their corruption.
      Venezuela was exploited for over a hundred years and had more or the same amount of poor people, same as Mexico or Cuba, or Chile and Bolivia, the only difference now is different exploiters targeting bigger earnings at the expense of poor ignorant LatinAmericans unqualified to govern themselves or to elect "proper governments", same old story, newly stirred BS.
      "Ramos" has no alternatives to propose, or he would have done it a long time ago, he is just a mouthpiece for sale or for rent.

      Delete
  2. Im not expecting an outrage in US mainstream media, but the deafening silence is perverse. Of course I should not be surprised by this in our big corporations controlled media landscape, but the disgust for the propaganda machine sits deeper by the day.

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    Replies
    1. As of yet no outrage from American people. Nor from anyone foreign or domestic.

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    2. Can't be outraged about something one never sees, hears, or experiences... our lamestream news won't report this because it would tend to sway opinion against their open borders saturation of the country as they attempt to unbalance the electorate with people who live off the government dole.

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  3. These statistics almost useless for analysis as presented.
    Too many problems to mention...

    Try this instead:
    https://elcri.men/en/index.html

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  4. No end in sight for homicides.
    Until the president of Mexico puts his fist down.

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  5. Asigno gran parte de la culpa a nuestro presidente y su retiro público al cesar las operaciones contra jefes de narcotráfico. Se necesitan dos cosas. El primero es convertirlo en un gran delito federal para permitir que un prisionero compre lujo mientras está en confinamiento. El segundo es castigar a los abogados por la búsqueda de amparos triviales fraudulentos para los reclusos de crímenes de lesa humanidad. Una sentencia de treinta años significaría exactamente eso, a menos que se encuentre evidencia nueva que exija un nuevo juicio. Las fallas y omisiones existentes en el sistema de justicia penal de México lo convierten en una broma vergonzosa.

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    Replies
    1. -Desde Tierra Caliente-Good points that need to be brought to attention more. The media's failure to cover this is shows they are are accomplices and don't care about who suffers from crime.

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    2. When I saw the video of Menchos wife getting released and hauling ass in an Escalade I knew it was all a joke

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  6. The Russians, Americans, and Chinese have probably contributed to this war. The Chinese with their chemicals, Americans with consumption/weapons, and the Russians too.

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    Replies
    1. There's an interesting comment.
      Although there are many more individuals complicit in contributing to what's transpiring in Mexico.
      Those political/industrial and financial sectors.
      For every action there is always a reaction is right.

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    2. Correct sir.

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    3. There was Krokodyl for a while, on the US, very famous in Russia.
      But what has been killing Mexican wholesale is the US paid for war ON drugs, I think this is the hundred thousandth time it gets told, but it gets killed by the parnas of the US all over the place, 3 billion dollars a years, for 12 years, it is 36 billion dollars wisely invested by the US in foreign mercenaries and weapons for cartels and government to fack each other up, they chose to slaughter the innocent Mexican, make them drug addicted with forced sales and consumption of their drugs, because their dealers had to sell or eat them, and kill each other if they want tk eat their daily maruchan. And one more time, these results of this war ON drugs IN MEXICO, were prognosticated and foretold by people in the know, including the UN, but nobody wanted to listen, there were 36 Billion dollars in the line.

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    4. In the US, Fox News has presented the statistics in this article on several occasions since June.

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  7. U know Amlo ain't going to do a damn thing about the Cartels and the killing. He is probably of the cartel. Please Pleas Wake Up my mexican friend. Take country back

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  8. The economy is going down, and the violence is going up. This is a fairly common problem in Latin American socialist countries.

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  9. 9:17 yeah, yeah, you know you want revolution...
    --Where are you waiting for us with your rifles and guns to start your revolution?
    --Tell us please, garranteed somebody will be a fool and go looking to join your movement....

    ReplyDelete

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