Friday, June 15, 2012

Decrease in Homicides Proof of El Chapo Control

Diario de Juarez. 6-15-2012.  The decrease in homicides in Ciudad Juarez is an indicator that an organized crime group already has territorial control over drug smuggling, because it's in the interest of criminal groups to have a secure zone  since their objective is to make money not murder people.
According to an expert in security matters, Gabriel Regino, it's clear that the decrease in violence is due more to this cartel's control than to a public safety strategy implemented by the three levels of government.

In an interview with El Diario, the UNAM criminologist explained that, "we see a decrease in executions because they are no longer necessary; there's territorial control and it's no longer necessary to use the violence used in the past." The homicide statistics, he pointed out, are being used as a key factor to assert that violence has declined. Despite that, he clarified, homicides considered independently cannot necessarily show that violence or unrest has declined in any particular area.

"In the case of Ciudad Juarez, there was a sharp increase in very violent deaths a few years ago, beginning in 2007 until 2010 and including part of 2011, [the numbers] reaching historical levels. This number of homicides had not been seen in in recent history in Ciudad Juarez, they were killing a lot of people because there was a dispute in the city between different criminal groups, like La Linea, the Sinaloa Cartel, the Aztecas, among others, for territorial control."  The reason is that, at the national level, criminal organizations are battling amongst themselves to take control of drug smuggling routes and Juarez is a key point in this matter.

"The number of arrests or convictions of individuals responsible for these deaths is very low. The federal government tried to implement different strategies, such as militarization and use of the  Federal Police, which in the end could not put a stop to the violence at that time, " he recalled. That's because, he insists, "government efficiency plays no part in criminal thinking; a criminal organization does not seek to become a killing machine, but a money making machine., and for that there's drug smuggling."

On the other hand, if the U.S. authorities tell us that there's more drugs, that prices are stable, that's a clue that there is actually a large organization that has taken temporary control in the area; "We'll see that this territorial group will sustain itself and will grow, as the incidence of extortion goes down, because once the group that gains control begins to get income from drug smuggling it will abandon other sources of income such as extortion, which were taking place during the dispute."

With respect to the efficacy of the public safety strategies implemented by the three levels of government, Gabriel Regino recalled that, "the first response took place at the federal level by sending out the Army and even with their presence, there were massacres such as the ones at Villas de Salvarcar and at the rehabilitation centers.

When there were no results from the Army presence, he asserted, [the federal government] decided to send in the Federal Police; with them, not only did things get worse, but murders went up and there was dissatisfaction with the presence of the federales, and , in fact there was even an uprising among the police officers against their own commanders, and this last development led to the return of the Army in the area. All this, he emphasized, absolutely cannot be interpreted to mean that the strategy was successful, but rather was the result of the fact that there was an ongoing dispute between powerful criminal groups in the area, and if the city is quiet today, that's because it serves the interests of a group whose objective is to smuggle drugs, not to kill people, even though that's what they did for several years in many places.

"In reality," he concludes, "what's best for a criminal organization is to have a quiet, safe zone where drugs can flow without social, political or economic problems as was the case for many years in Ciudad Juarez under the rule of that famous Senor de los Cielos (Lord of the skies)".

La Linea, still here   

Even though there is evidence that the Sinaloa Cartel has taken control of almost the entire state, including the Juarez Valley, the Cartel has not been able to completely eliminate La Linea, the enforcement arm of the Juarez Cartel  that had control of the plaza  for several years, declared a specialist, based on studies by Stratfor, the U.S. agency that specializes in national security matters. This interpretation is substantiated by the Stratfor, an agency that specializes in national security matters, which holds that the corridor from Sinaloa to the Chihuahua border, except for part of Ciudad Juarez, is under the control of the Sinaloa Cartel. According to Stratfor, the border area between  Sonora, Sinaloa and Chihuahua is under the control of Sinaloa Federation, led by Joaquin Guzman Loera, "l Chapo." Another fringe, which encompasses the border area between Sinaloa, Durango and Chihuahu, is dominated by the group known as the Pacifico Sur Cartel.  The specialist consulted by El Diario  points out that one of the most serious territorial disputes among the drug cartels is precisely for the [route] that goes through Chihuahua to the Juarez [international] crossing, because this is the point of origin for distribution points in the area known as the Midwest in the U.S.  This crossing dominates drug distribution that reaches large urban centers of north-central United States, such as Chicago and Minneapolis. According to this "mapping", the group led by Chapo Guzman controls almost all of Baja California peninsula, except for the border area with the state of California, which remains under the control of the Felix Arellano brothers' organization.

Meanwhile, the Zeta Cartel controls all of the Gulf of Mexico coast, except for a fringe of the Tamaulipas coast still controlled by the Gulf Cartel. The specialist consulted by El Diario pointed out that the the blows that the Zetas have suffered, both in Mexico and the United States, could lead the group known as "La Linea" to end  its its alliance with the Zetas. One of the signs that there is no longer a Zetas operation and that an alliance no longer exists with La Linea is that there haven't been any cases of dismembered bodies, such as take place on the eastern fringe of the country, which is the distinctive signature  of the Zetas group.

"It's police work"

The decrease in crime in Ciudad Juarez is due to the frontal attack on organized crime by the authorities and not because "Chapo" Guzman operates by himself here, asserted Hector Gonzalez Mocken, the head of the Chihuahua  Federation of Attorney Colleges (Chihuahua state bar). The lawyer said that the purported supremacy of the leader of the Sinaloa Cartel is a myth strenghtened by the fact that drug trafficking and drug addiction has decreased very little. He said that the three levels of government have undertaken a direct confrontation (with crime) that has weakened the presence of organized crime in the city.  "We need to understand, "he states, "that what is said to be a weakening of one group and the growth of another is part of the myth that arises from the confrontation that Juarez lived through in the last two years, but nevertheless, it must be recognized that society and institutions have closed ranks against this scourge."

He indicated that [the authorities] have undertaken concrete actions that have helped diminish the presence of drug cartels in Juarez. He said that there 's a story going around in social circles that "El Chapo" had ended up in control of the plaza  because there is still the perception that drugs continue to be distributed as usual in the area. He says, "That's the reason there's an urban legend that there's another group now in charge of trafficking and exporting narcotics to the United States, and as a result, that control explains the decrease in the murder of members of the groups that are fighting over the plaza." 

31 comments:

  1. Once again the media telling lies. La linea controls from juarez to ojinaga from presidio to el paso. In chihuahua people hate cds. They brought the war. Weve lost alot of familia and friends alot guilty pero chingos de innocentes. Dont belive everything you read. we pray for justice. All cartels are scum. Viva mexico libre de estas mierdas.

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  2. I thought CDJ were just in Sinaloa last month fucking with Chapo's area along with BLO?

    Was that maybe a last ditch effort to draw Chapo's people back out of Juarez or what?

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  3. Thanks for the story BB. Question, whats going on in Juarez now? Has the Juarez cartel been weakened or are they just being smart and laying low. I disagree with Hector Mocken, " urban myth that drugs are being distributed as usual". Its a major border crossing does he think that they fear the mighty police force and have moved else where. Dont waste your money and go to the school he teaches at. The line lost Diego and with it a thirst for never ending blood. Not to mention the army arrested almost the whole police force and cleaned house. Get rid of the corrupt officials and you hurt the criminals and their sense of invisibility. Also what did they mean that the alliance between la linea and the zetas may be over, and the way you can tell is the lack of dismembered body? You still see people being chopped up everywhere. A lot of the decrease in murders has to do with CDS dominance and the ex police chief from tijuana going to Juarez.

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  4. If you study "Economics" and "Inflation" there is no way he is wining... funny with a broke economy in the U.S. who has the money???
    I smell pussy :)

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  5. They can come in and make a mess, or hang banners, or drop flyers, but they aren't intergated into the city, (Culican) like (if this is to believed) GN/CDs are integrated into Juarez, they have retail outlets, kidnapping crews, and transport across the bridges.

    Beltrans and Z just playing capture the flag with Chapo in Sinaloa, run in, and run out. However, the Beltrans have a heavy presence in north Sinaloa, which I want to state before someone corrects me.

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  6. the media only puts what the narcos tell them to publish just lkke televisa saying pena nieto is winning when hes not. and yes la linea is the one that has suffered the most because pans presidential win was paid by chapo, but they do not control only parts of juarez in fact the people know the sinaloa cartel is never around. its mexicles and doble as fighting aztecas and the municipal police fighting la linea, but even the police who were bought off by chapo say theyre really from la linea. but this doesnt really matter if pena nieto wins because the govt will back off the zetas and juarez and mkve into chapos territory. but lets hope that domeass doesnt win, we need a real change andres manuel.to return peace

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  7. THE MEDIA ISN'T THE ONLY ONE STATING THE OBVIOUS CDJ OWN PEOPLE RECEANTLY CAPTURE "EL PARIENTE" HIGH RANKING BOSS OF LA LINEA TOLD AUTHORITIES THAT CHAPO OWNS ALL OF CHIHUAHUA IN A PROCESSO ARTICLE INFORMATION THAT LEAK OUT ALSO "EL DIEGO" IN HIS INTERROGATION VIDEO SAID AS WELL OJINAGA IS NOT OWN BY LA LINEA ANYMORE G.N KILLED "EL CACHITAS" JEFE DE PLAZA OF THAT REGION ALL HIS MEN RAN OUT OF TOWN ALL YOU GOT NOW IN JUAREZ ARE AZTECAS WHO JUST DO EXTORSIAN YOU CAN'T DENIE THERE IS STILL LINEA IN JUAREZ BUT WITH OUT HELP OF CARILLO THEY HIDE

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  8. The first comment is kinda funny, people in Chihuahua hate CDS, really, the Juarez heirarchy is comprised of Sinaloans.

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    1. What a couple sinalocas??? Who do you think helped him? Not sinaloas because they are busy blowing sapo Guzman.

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  9. The zetas have narco camps in sinaloa. Explain that to me. Im wondering why someone with so much power and money allows that. In malova sinaloa according to mn.

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    1. Lol you are very wrong. If anything they are BL. Unless you have a reliable source to backup your claims.

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    2. The truth hurts?? BL yes they are pretty much zetas,so yes they are in sinaloa!!!!!!! Pa' que te duela joto.

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  10. AS A MEX-AMERICAN I HOPE CHAPO TAKES CONTROL OF THR WHOLE GULF COAST ALOT OF PEOPLE DONT UNDERSTAND ZETAS ARE ANIMALS AGAINST INOCENT PEOPLE .CARTELS WHERE ALWAYS HERE MOVING DRUGS EL CHAPO NEVER CROST THE LINE THE PEOPLE .THE CARTEL AND DRUGS WILL NEVER GO AWAY BUT THE ZETAS WILL SOON PARISH .......CDS SUR13

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    1. Damn ass surenos dont run with paisas so obviously you don't know ssss with your sur13.That would get you a hot one....

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  11. @ June 15, 2012 8:44 PM if you are talking about the navolato sinaloa camp you are wrong that city has always been the carillo family they were born there they still have family there since there is an aliance with cdj an los zetas the carillos get support from los zetas so chapo wont take over navolato looks like the plan failed right hahaha old man chapo respects family of los carillos he doesn't really go after them but receantly they have been heating up the plaza in culiacan two weeks ago el cholo ivan (cds) killed a top sicario boss in navolato of los carillo also in choix they lost alot of sicarios as well thats why they brought help from beltran leyva that camp might have been zetas i doubt it mundo narco makes up alot shit most likeley la linea members

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  12. Linea got ran out of Ojinaga by Gente nueva
    been that way for at least a year and a half.

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  13. The Zetas don't have narco camps in Sinaloa dumb ass they are hiding in houses acting like they aren't in the drug traficking they are in guasave hiding with the beltrans but don't worry you guys are surrounded and when you guys come to culiacan in your old cars dressed as women because you are scared to drive in a convoy but eventually every one who is in bad foot steps will end up dead Zetas say good bye to your families i heard el Cholo and his people are looking for zetas and is fucken killing you guys like flies

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    1. El cholo is dead! Just like chino antrax. I also read about chapos security chief getting murked. Funny hpw those stories never make waves like these do.

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    2. ^ you are wrong. El cholo is NOT dead neither is el chapos chief of security. That was a rumor which ended up being wrong. El fantasma and el bravo are alive.

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  14. Marijuana from SoCal...Canada, and the Midwest Meth labs... more marijuana from the Appalachian Trail...the keys and home grown use??? All cut into profit, not to mention inflation, you need to own all of Mexico to make a profit. South America got smart in the 80's and created the middle men...in Mexico. Russia and China buy direct. Just like you and me ...Chapo(mejo) and Mayo(viejo) pay TAX too.

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  15. LOL,
    Everyone is an expert here!! Do all of you above; work for the CIA or something? If not, you get the same information as everyone else! Newspapers, Internet!!

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    1. Not really. There are people here who live in Mexico or who have family who live in Mexico and let them know what's going on in their area.

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  16. I wouldn't be quick to say sapo is in control remember his people are in tamaulipas fighting zetas so obviously his troops left Juarez.

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    1. You are wrong. You think he only has one group? Very mistaken my friend

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  17. "El cholo is dead! Just like chino antrax"
    Cholo Ivan,Chino Antrax dead,speak on that shit hermano,you right,heard nothing about any of that.Them two major players for CDS,and if they were murked its a hit.But aint heard fuck all.
    Where you get that man?It must have been recent?

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  18. June 16, 2012 3:31 PM .
    How you know them two been topped?
    Cholo was getting mentioned on the chainsaw shit,and that was this year,,i think.
    C,mon mayne,tell us what you hearing about them bein murked,where,when?

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  19. Fake!! Fake! Fake! Chapo doesnt control Ciudad Juarez.

    Vicente Carillo will shoot himself before chapo takes over his plaza.Actually JL is killing anyone associated with the Sinaloa Cartel .and JLs plaza or where he operates is the whole state of Chihuahua.

    Just because Mexico and the U.S cant capture chapo now they are trying to fool the public by saying that he is more powerful then what he really is.

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    1. He is more powerful then you could imagine in Mexico. And he does own most of Chihuahua. Not all of it but most of it is his.

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  20. Dude I just came back from Juarez and every one there roots for Shorty they hate the lines extortions n bullshit n its no secret shortys kicking ass and taking names there

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  21. June 17, 2012 1:40 AM .
    I know man,some of the shit gets said here is plain cheerleader crap.The people on the ground usually know the score,the dudes hangin in these places even if they not players know whats up.Look at the different storys here.You cant know who is for real,and who is a clown.
    One thing for sure,a lot of shit has died down,over in there.

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  22. Plain and simple. He sent troops from Juarez to tamaulipas thats why shit shifted plus sapo can't even control his own state. What happened in Tj? He doesn't control that either. He starts shit he can finish!!!But yes his people are in Chihuahua but dont run anything. Think the Carrillos have been there since the 80's-90's shit dont get taken that easy or fast.

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