Coronavirus Update 3.. "A very painful coming two weeks" warns the president

Chivis Martinez for Borderland Beat

4/3/20 Global cases over 1 millon, deaths tops 53,000.... 

U.S. 245k cases and 6000 deaths 908 in 24hr..

2214 deaths projected on April 15th...at peak 

Thursday Stats 4.2.20

U.S.:245,400 Cases, 6005 Deaths… an increase of 908 deaths since Tuesday Global: 803,700 Cases and 42,404 Deaths in 155 countries

Global: 1,026,001 Cases, 53,930 Deaths in 155 nations

New York: 91,734 Cases 2935 Deaths Note: hospitalizations have slowed for 8 days straight

California: 11,126 Cases 244 Deaths

Mexico: 1510 Cases 50 Deaths Note: Mexico is not providing confirmed comprehensive information including affected states.

Notes from yesterday: In the ongoing issue of mask wearing, today CDC is expected to announce guidelines for mask wearing.  CDC, Dr. Fauci and Birx have been against wearing masks as “not needed”.  It will be interesting what compromise was reached.

Social Security recipients will receive checks in 2 weeks if they are paid by direct deposit.  Like for everyone else, the government is working off 2018 tax returns and income earned in that year.  For those not using direct deposit, you will receive checks via mail and they will be delayed.   

Unemployment is now 4.4%

The pneumonia vaccine protects against bacterial pneumonia, not the COVID-19 virus. COVID-19 is viral not bacterial.

Treatment: Although trials continue, Malaria drug alone or with ZPAC has proven to be effective by those using it.  It is now the go to medication for doctors.  The meds have been used for decades for malaria and off label for Lupus and arthritis, and proven safe.

Trump was tested again yesterday, this time via the Abbott 5 min test, he was negative.

*****

Below is the infamous cases and death "curve" chart from Dr. Birx

March 31, 2020 Task Force Conference:

Trump: “It will be a very rough 2 weeks ahead. Very painful 2 weeks”.  Trump is referring to the “peak” expected in 2 weeks.

Paycheck protection: 2 months payroll protection for small businesses begins April 3.

Americans Repatriated: 25k Americans brought home

Dr. Birx: Goals of community mitigation; flattening the curve, bringing down death tolls.  Projections without mitigation are 1.5 to 2.2 Million deaths.  With mitigation it is 100 to 200k or less.

April 15 it the expected peak date based of data models.

Birx explained the cumulative charts, saying the California is not rising much unlike NY, attributes to mitigation right away where NY delayed a couple of weeks. (at top)

Second chart is cumulative cases per 100k for all states. ((below) (Click on any image to enlarge)

Italy: Has turned the corner and peaked

“No one that has needed a ventilator has been denied a ventilator.”

Dr. Fauci: There are 2 dynamic forces;; Virus left alone, that dark curve on the chart, and virus with mitigation.  “We are convinced that mitigation will be doing the trick for us.” “We are now seeing glimpses of this in NY.”

“Don’t be discouraged!  We will continue to see things go up, but mitigation is working.”

“The first 15 Day plan to stop the virus was proven effective.  BUT now is not the time to take the foot off the accelerator, this IS the answer.”

Birx: “Projection using all models, including Italy, is 100 to 200k deaths in the U.S. …but we are hoping to do even better.”

Fauci: “Our hope is to get the number down. …we don’t accept the projection, we can do better.”

Deaths will “lag” so you will see deaths even though we are doing “really, really well.”  California and Washington mitigated early, before New York and may be reflected in the flattening of the line.  We are in good shape.

Trump: Old testing systems were done by CDC and the States, they only processed 30 to 50k per day, now the new systems in place using outside labs processes 100k or more per day.

Governor Newsom of California: California has the largest homeless population.  The governor promises thousands of hotel rooms for the homeless.

China: Reporting an uptick in infections and reinfections.  China blames the new round on “foreign travelers”

Treatment: 1,100 patients in trial (NY) for malaria drugs and ZPAC.  Waiting for the results.

Fauci: A whole menu of drugs in clinical trials.  That usually takes months that is why they are testing drugs already approved. 

CDC is recommending no change on the mask policy…..you do not need them unless medically compromised or show symptoms.

COVID-19 is caused by a coronavirus. Coronaviruses are a large family of viruses that are common in people and many different species of animals, including camels, cattle, cats, and bats. Rarely, animal coronaviruses can infect people and then spread between people such as with MERS-CoV, SARS-CoV, and now with this new virus (named SARS-CoV-2).

The SARS-CoV-2 virus is a betacoronavirus, like MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV. All three of these viruses have their origins in bats. The sequences from U.S. patients are similar to the one that China initially posted, suggesting a likely single, recent emergence of this virus from an animal reservoir.  Early on, many of the patients at the epicenter of the outbreak in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China had some link to a large seafood and live animal market, suggesting animal-to-person spread. Later, a growing number of patients reportedly did not have exposure to animal markets, indicating person-to-person spread

********

Tuesday Stats 3.31.20 

U.S.: 164,400 Cases 3173 Deaths… since Sunday a 24k increase nationwide in cases and 773 deaths increase over the two day period.

Global: 803,605 Cases and 39,033 Deaths in 155 countries 

California is experiencing a slow increase with 7429 Cases and 149 Deaths.  44 deaths in L.A...Possibly attributed to social distancing as Governor Newsom was the first in the nation to call for “sheltering in place”.

New York: 75,795 Cases 914 Deaths  Note: hospitalizations have slowed for 7 days straight

Mexico: 1094 Cases 28 Deaths Note: Mexico is not providing confirmed comprehensive information including affected states (see graph below)

To mask or not to mask….citizens left confused…

Since I have been reporting on the CV, I have stressed the CDC and Dr Fauci, warning that masks were not needed to be worn and by hoarding the masks and other medical protection wear; it has caused a critical shortage needed by first responders, medical personnel and those high risk persons, such as those with immune deficiencies.

Now there is discussion being conducted by professionals and the CDC, masks worn in public by asymptomatic persons it would stop that person from transmitting the virus.   The masks worn by healthy persons is useless in protection but worn by a carrier may stop that person from spreading the highly contagious disease.  CDC is looking into this and may impose a mandatory face shielding such as bandannas.

Surgeon General says wearing masks are an added danger of acquiring the virus, as people improperly wear the masks, and touch them with hands.....Stay tuned

Testing: U.S. has tested over 1m and is testing 100k per day, more than any other country in the world.  That number will jump as new testing products are used.  The “5 Minute Testing” machine began yesterday.  The noninvasive test machine can be utilized anywhere, mobile units, urgent care, doctor’s office.  Normally taking 8 to 10 weeks to present a new test, this took a couple of weeks and is highly accurate. Trump displayed the small unit at the task force presser yesterday.  Trump says there are now 20 testing options. The 5 Min machine was sent to NYC, Seattle, DC and 2 to Ohio.

Ventilators: Ford along with GE are speedily churning out the pNueton non-electric ventilators.  The machine works on compressed oxygen, important in situations such as mash type facilities where electricity is limited.  Ford/GE They will produce at least 50k in 100 days.

Seema Verma CMS Administrator: They are waving regulations in order to provide expanded care such as “wall-less” hospitals facilities operating outside a hospital. (non CV patients)

Mobile Labs now being used for home appointments, for persons unable to travel to a facility.

Now allowing ER’s to use Telemedicine systems.

Now providing childcare, laundry services, meals for medical personnel and will pay for physicians to make phone calls with their patients for consultation appointments.

Fauci:  Expects another wave of the virus in the fall.  But emphasizes “It will be a whole different ballgame”, citing testing, treatments and the ability “to trace and isolate” plus “a number of clinical trials for therapeutic intervention, and most importantly multiple vaccine candidates may be ready next season”.

Dozens of companies in the U.S. have stepped up and are manufacturing medical protection gear, medical supplies and equipment.  Many are donating the product.

Mike Lindell of My Pillow is making 50 masks a day rather than pillows.  He is just one of the many citizens that have stepped up to the virus challenge.

4 of the last 5 Viruses originated in Asia’s “Wet Markets” 

Resources used: CDC CoronavirusWebsite Birx 

NIH Fauci

John Hopkins Global Covid-19 tracker map  also posted below)

Daily Task Force Conferences

Mexico cases and deaths

Go to interactive map using this hyperlink

30 days to stop spread

style="   margin: 12px auto 6px auto;   font-family: Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif;   font-style: normal;   font-variant: normal;   font-weight: normal;   font-size: 14px;   line-height: normal;   font-size-adjust: none;   font-stretch: normal;   -x-system-font: none;   display: block;"   > 

style="text-decoration: underline;">3.31.20 coronavirus-guidanc... by   style="text-decoration: underline;">Chivis Martinez on Scribd